: Allocate more capital to the highly probable value outcomes and smaller "saver" stakes to lower-probability, high-yielding variables.
: Adjusting for the strength of the field the horse previously faced. Racing NSW
: Backing a horse simply because it is the most likely winner will bankrupt you if the bookmaker's price is shorter than its actual chance. winning more don scott pdf
: Factors like being "blocked" or "checked" during a race must be compensated for in past ratings. Inconsistent Form
His first book, Winning , was a revelation. His follow-up, Winning More , was the advanced degree. Scott argued that you don't win by picking winners; you win by finding . If a horse has a 25% chance of winning (true odds of $4.00), but the bookmaker is offering $5.00, you bet. If they are offering $3.00, you pass. : Allocate more capital to the highly probable
If a horse dropped weight from its last start, its rating points increased.
Many casual gamblers suffer from the urge to bet on every single race on a Saturday card. Scott heavily penalizes this lack of discipline. In Winning More , he explicitly advises eliminating: All races with . : Factors like being "blocked" or "checked" during
Mastering Horse Racing Handicapping: The Legacy of Don Scott’s "Winning More"
Scott breaks down a horse's chance into five discrete variables: